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Red146
253914.8
121856.7
35740.9
Blue125
43330.5
218033.2
116827.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11085050150200250300146125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.70.7
54.755.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.5
2180
#18
33.20.6
32.633.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
357
#8
40.90.7
38.939.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.4
433
#9
30.50.6
29.930.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2539
#27
14.80.7
12.813.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.5
1168
#12
27.40.6
26.827.4
Auto
Teleop
End