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Red167
5655.8
22255.9
48430.1
Blue160
29337.5
249525.8
48652.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions150109050200250300350167160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#3
55.90.4
56.857.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
486
#7
52.70.7
52.453.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
56
#5
55.80.4
55.956.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.2
293
#31
37.50.7
37.238.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
484
#30
30.10.4
31.031.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
2495
#28
25.80.7
25.526.2
Auto
Teleop
End