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Red168
22255.9
5655.8
48430.1
Blue92
249525.8
29337.5
48652.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15111105020025030035016892

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#3
55.90.4
57.257.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
486
#7
52.70.4
53.152.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
56
#5
55.80.4
56.356.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.2
293
#31
37.50.4
38.037.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
484
#30
30.10.4
31.431.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
2495
#28
25.80.4
26.225.8
Auto
Teleop
End