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Quarterfinal 1-22014 Greater Pittsburgh Regional
Red192
426631.0
121870.1
285254.5
Blue201
405041.5
448434.3
150350.2
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162108050200250300192201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1218
#1
70.10.6
69.5→70.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 19.9
1503
#23
50.21.4
47.3→48.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2852
#3
54.50.6
53.9→54.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 13.0
4050
#11
41.51.6
38.2→39.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4266
#19
31.00.7
30.2→31.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 3.3
4484
#22
34.31.6
31.0→32.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—