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Red176
405041.5
448434.3
150350.2
Blue180
83678.6
326064.4
454725.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113177050150200250300350176180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1503
#23
50.20.9
49.350.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 28.4
836
#7
78.60.2
78.278.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4050
#11
41.51.0
40.541.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.9
64.40.2
63.964.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4484
#22
34.31.0
33.334.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.0
4547
#32
25.30.2
24.825.0
Auto
Teleop
End