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Red191
217217.6
33743.4
121870.1
Blue135
77123.8
395440.2
150155.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11612280100140160180191135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.13.7
62.065.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.3
1501
#31
55.90.7
60.861.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
337
#18
43.43.7
43.246.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
3954
#20
40.21.2
32.633.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2172
#35
17.63.7
12.015.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.1
771
#28
23.80.7
27.828.5
Auto
Teleop
End