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Red141
285254.5
264148.1
475317.6
Blue64
39628.1
350443.2
405041.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1187505010015020025014164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.51.5
49.350.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.3
43.20.9
35.334.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
48.11.5
42.944.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.6
4050
#11
41.51.5
34.733.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4753
#36
17.62.5
19.221.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.4
3962
#45
8.11.5
12.110.6
Auto
Teleop
End