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Red133
395522.5
350443.2
460142.0
Blue73
351119.1
319340.7
29113.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1026605015020025013373

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.21.8
34.436.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
40.70.1
42.342.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
42.01.8
39.641.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.8
3511
#21
19.10.1
15.815.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3955
#42
22.53.1
22.125.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.6
291
#33
13.90.1
13.413.5
Auto
Teleop
End