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Red116
448434.3
39577.5
341041.9
Blue162
426631.0
395440.2
405041.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions561040150200116162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.94.4
35.740.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
4050
#11
41.55.5
33.138.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4484
#22
34.34.4
22.526.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.9
3954
#20
40.25.5
33.839.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3957
#47
7.54.4
5.59.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 23.5
4266
#19
31.05.5
29.635.1
Auto
Teleop
End