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Red33
475317.6
39628.1
306211.1
Blue46
351119.1
39577.5
17438.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453502060801001201403346

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4753
#36
17.60.8
19.618.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
3511
#21
19.10.7
16.917.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3062
#43
11.10.8
10.69.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
1743
#46
8.60.7
9.610.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3962
#45
8.10.8
13.412.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
3957
#47
7.50.7
9.810.5
Auto
Teleop
End