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Red149
405041.5
83678.6
499125.1
Blue140
319340.7
150155.9
403218.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions154112050200250300350149140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#7
78.60.1
74.975.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.8
1501
#31
55.91.1
60.261.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4050
#11
41.50.1
41.641.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
40.71.1
41.642.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4991
#14
25.10.1
31.431.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
4032
#27
18.61.5
17.018.5
Auto
Teleop
End