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Red235
292858.2
455933.1
358855.2
Blue206
241246.4
159555.0
381255.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1401640100200300400235206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.21.5
57.258.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
55.70.8
56.857.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3588
#11
55.21.5
54.255.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
55.00.8
56.156.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4559
#43
33.11.5
32.033.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.3
2412
#36
46.40.8
47.548.3
Auto
Teleop
End