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Red141
491167.6
48860.5
407759.3
Blue186
131878.7
290756.8
198343.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19317550100150250300350400141186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.60.8
68.567.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.1
78.70.1
78.278.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
488
#7
60.50.8
61.360.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
2907
#51
56.80.1
56.356.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4077
#21
59.30.8
60.159.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.7
1983
#34
43.60.1
43.043.2
Auto
Teleop
End