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Red117
292858.2
455933.1
358855.2
Blue122
241246.4
159555.0
381255.7
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1451660100200300400117122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.20.5
58.858.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
55.70.7
57.656.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3588
#11
55.20.5
55.755.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
55.00.7
56.956.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4559
#43
33.10.5
33.633.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.3
2412
#36
46.40.7
48.347.6
Auto
Teleop
End