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Red120
292858.2
36041.3
412734.7
Blue119
154051.4
214942.8
252146.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1231510100200300400120119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.20.4
55.655.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.9
1540
#39
51.41.4
56.555.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
360
#18
41.30.4
41.441.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
2521
#28
46.41.4
46.745.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4127
#19
34.70.4
30.229.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.1
2149
#40
42.81.4
43.342.0
Auto
Teleop
End