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Red207
448882.5
252252.6
381255.7
Blue73
412541.4
298014.3
142546.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18310105015025030035040020773

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.51.8
72.874.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 36.2
1425
#59
46.22.0
53.651.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
55.71.8
49.251.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.2
4125
#29
41.42.0
42.740.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2522
#17
52.61.8
48.650.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 38.4
2980
#49
14.32.0
17.015.0
Auto
Teleop
End