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Red178
292858.2
292321.5
511124.4
Blue132
454243.8
36041.3
214725.0
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90105050150200250300178132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.24.3
55.259.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.5
4542
#15
43.81.5
37.739.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5111
#33
24.44.3
18.122.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.0
360
#18
41.31.5
41.042.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2923
#62
21.54.3
18.723.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
2147
#38
25.01.5
24.025.5
Auto
Teleop
End