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Red116
247150.4
412734.7
455933.1
Blue287
131878.7
241246.4
381255.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97181050150200250300350400116287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2471
#44
50.40.3
51.451.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 28.3
78.76.0
75.181.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4127
#19
34.70.3
29.930.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.0
55.76.0
51.057.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4559
#43
33.10.3
29.029.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.3
2412
#36
46.46.0
41.747.7
Auto
Teleop
End