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Red141
406159.8
214725.0
200222.8
Blue62
290314.9
412734.7
508533.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1176805010015020025030014162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4061
#41
59.81.6
64.466.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 25.2
4127
#19
34.70.7
29.228.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2147
#38
25.01.6
20.422.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.1
5085
#55
33.10.7
31.831.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2002
#53
22.81.6
24.526.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.9
2903
#63
14.90.7
14.513.8
Auto
Teleop
End