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Red172
491555.6
204650.5
381255.7
Blue192
292858.2
358855.2
454243.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions146134050100200250300350172192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.71.4
43.945.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
58.22.8
54.257.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4915
#13
55.61.4
54.055.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
3588
#11
55.22.8
56.259.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2046
#45
50.51.4
46.648.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
4542
#15
43.82.8
25.428.2
Auto
Teleop
End