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Red190
412026.3
142546.2
448882.5
Blue83
413119.8
403822.6
292858.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17289020030040019083

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.51.5
71.773.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.2
58.20.9
57.056.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1425
#59
46.21.5
58.960.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.6
4038
#61
22.60.9
22.922.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4120
#30
26.31.5
28.530.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
4131
#58
19.80.9
21.720.8
Auto
Teleop
End