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Red142
292729.3
313125.6
204650.5
Blue93
412541.4
412734.7
511124.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1028105015020025014293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2046
#45
50.52.1
48.050.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.0
4125
#29
41.40.4
42.042.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2927
#25
29.32.1
26.829.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.3
4127
#19
34.70.4
28.529.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3131
#22
25.62.1
24.326.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
5111
#33
24.40.4
13.714.1
Auto
Teleop
End