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Red113
454243.8
455933.1
491841.7
Blue167
154051.4
412541.4
498032.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96138050200250300350113167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4542
#15
43.80.5
28.428.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.6
1540
#39
51.41.8
61.363.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4918
#47
41.70.5
42.142.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
4125
#29
41.41.8
43.745.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4559
#43
33.10.5
31.732.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
4980
#26
32.11.8
26.728.5
Auto
Teleop
End