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Red171
48860.5
339367.6
406159.8
Blue66
403822.6
297630.0
252252.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19886030040017166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.60.5
64.764.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.0
2522
#17
52.61.9
50.148.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
488
#7
60.50.5
52.351.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 30.5
2976
#46
30.01.9
29.327.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4061
#41
59.80.5
63.362.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 37.2
4038
#61
22.61.9
23.721.9
Auto
Teleop
End