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Red106
358855.2
131878.7
508533.1
Blue162
99748.3
448882.5
129429.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1631460100200300400500106162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.72.7
76.373.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
82.50.7
72.172.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3588
#11
55.22.7
54.952.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.9
997
#10
48.30.7
46.747.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5085
#55
33.12.7
29.326.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
1294
#27
29.80.7
29.530.2
Auto
Teleop
End