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Red113
290314.9
405720.1
357443.6
Blue122
491167.6
49241.5
292858.2
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions531880100150250300350400113122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3574
#50
43.61.9
40.742.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 24.0
67.62.3
70.167.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4057
#56
20.11.9
20.722.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 38.2
58.22.3
57.855.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2903
#63
14.91.9
12.614.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 26.6
492
#9
41.52.3
39.337.1
Auto
Teleop
End