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Red145
398717.6
459420.9
399066.5
Blue102
517928.0
398626.4
311735.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6885050100150200250145102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.53.7
42.045.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 30.9
3117
#27
35.51.6
37.038.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4594
#21
20.96.2
15.121.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.1
5179
#20
28.01.6
21.823.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3987
#14
17.66.2
13.619.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.8
3986
#30
26.41.0
23.524.5
Auto
Teleop
End