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Red22
354411.8
398528.5
495016.4
Blue128
399620.2
494219.2
416721.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5446010015020025022128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3985
#24
28.51.5
21.119.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
4167
#13
21.26.8
5.912.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4950
#32
16.42.6
23.020.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
3996
#33
20.26.8
21.628.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3544
#41
11.82.6
8.76.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.4
4942
#35
19.26.8
19.526.2
Auto
Teleop
End