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Red70
397918.8
338222.6
184621.1
Blue82
397718.9
449111.1
336056.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31950501502002507082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3382
#22
22.62.4
16.118.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 33.9
3360
#10
56.40.2
51.251.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1846
#15
21.12.4
18.320.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
3977
#37
18.90.3
15.815.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3979
#34
18.82.4
6.99.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.7
4491
#29
11.10.3
18.117.9
Auto
Teleop
End