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Red49
397718.9
311735.5
262620.6
Blue59
495514.3
338730.2
398122.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions865301001504959

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3117
#27
35.52.3
39.737.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
30.20.0
32.732.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2626
#31
20.62.3
21.819.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
22.00.1
22.022.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3977
#37
18.92.3
19.417.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
4955
#38
14.30.1
3.33.4
Auto
Teleop
End