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Red37
495713.0
397522.1
398717.6
Blue95
509527.4
336056.4
184621.1
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5010501502003795

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.11.6
25.824.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 34.3
3360
#10
56.40.1
50.250.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3987
#14
17.61.6
15.814.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.8
27.40.1
29.529.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4957
#28
13.01.6
17.115.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.1
1846
#15
21.10.1
17.016.9
Auto
Teleop
End