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Red48
494219.2
449222.7
452617.7
Blue11
353313.2
397918.8
353210.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74380501001504811

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4492
#16
22.71.5
25.123.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
3979
#34
18.82.4
13.811.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4942
#35
19.21.5
23.221.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.1
3533
#18
13.22.4
13.911.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
17.71.5
20.018.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.9
3532
#39
10.72.4
16.313.9
Auto
Teleop
End