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Red56
353210.7
338641.2
494711.4
Blue20
398827.5
397918.8
509527.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions665901001502002503003504005620

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.20.5
43.543.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.7
3988
#12
27.52.4
32.530.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4947
#19
11.40.7
11.110.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.0
27.416.7
27.410.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3532
#39
10.70.7
10.29.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.1
3979
#34
18.83.3
13.410.1
Auto
Teleop
End