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Red80
336056.4
398915.0
400726.7
Blue60
396920.7
355031.8
398528.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93700501502002503003508060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3360
#10
56.40.6
52.351.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.7
3550
#25
31.80.8
37.837.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
26.70.8
21.520.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
3985
#24
28.50.8
22.721.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3989
#23
15.00.8
15.514.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.7
3969
#17
20.71.1
13.312.1
Auto
Teleop
End