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Red165
336056.4
397918.8
396920.7
Blue216
399066.5
495514.3
398915.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8266050100150200165216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3360
#10
56.44.3
50.154.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.0
66.57.4
57.164.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3969
#17
20.75.2
16.121.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
3989
#23
15.09.0
6.015.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3979
#34
18.85.2
13.618.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
4955
#38
14.39.0
5.314.3
Auto
Teleop
End