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Red6
449111.1
416721.2
495016.4
Blue22
509527.4
29618.2
495713.0
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5273020406080100120140160622

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4167
#13
21.23.0
24.221.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.2
27.42.9
30.928.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4950
#32
16.43.0
17.114.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
296
#26
18.22.9
21.118.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4491
#29
11.13.0
14.111.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
4957
#28
13.02.9
17.714.8
Auto
Teleop
End