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Red94
459420.9
517928.0
399620.2
Blue125
400726.7
107535.4
398827.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions619005010015020094125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5179
#20
28.01.6
27.829.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.4
35.42.0
34.936.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4594
#21
20.91.7
19.220.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.6
3988
#12
27.52.0
26.128.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3996
#33
20.21.6
18.720.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.4
26.72.4
24.627.0
Auto
Teleop
End