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Red58
371919.7
490824.1
490515.4
Blue107
431112.1
328032.2
404860.6
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38103015020025058107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4908
#20
24.10.7
22.923.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 36.5
60.60.7
53.053.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3719
#12
19.70.5
10.611.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.5
3280
#21
32.20.7
30.531.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4905
#28
15.40.5
14.414.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
4311
#18
12.10.9
9.310.2
Auto
Teleop
End