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Red146
19735.9
19048.7
34846.8
Blue135
226211.2
362326.5
6157.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9778050150200250146135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#13
48.72.6
46.849.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.5
61
#14
57.12.7
55.257.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
348
#10
46.82.6
42.645.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.3
3623
#15
26.52.7
20.923.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1973
#36
5.93.5
4.58.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.3
2262
#25
11.23.6
4.98.5
Auto
Teleop
End