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Red29
19658.4
28718.4
135037.6
Blue106
490824.1
13849.4
37804.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5077010015020029106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1350
#26
37.61.3
36.535.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.8
138
#8
49.41.7
46.247.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1965
#24
8.41.6
9.07.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.6
4908
#20
24.12.0
23.525.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2871
#31
8.41.7
8.97.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
3780
#19
4.41.7
2.84.5
Auto
Teleop
End