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Red220
404860.6
216855.8
371919.7
Blue101
151962.7
479611.4
226211.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12165050100150200250220101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.65.4
53.759.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
62.71.4
57.058.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
55.85.4
47.452.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 44.4
4796
#37
11.41.7
8.19.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3719
#12
19.75.4
11.116.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.5
2262
#25
11.21.7
8.510.2
Auto
Teleop
End