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Red215
7859.5
12547.7
476123.6
Blue119
66316.0
404860.6
110041.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125116050100150200250300215119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#2
59.51.5
57.058.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
60.60.0
60.460.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
125
#6
47.71.5
45.246.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.6
41.10.0
40.940.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4761
#17
23.61.5
21.122.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.6
663
#27
16.00.0
15.915.9
Auto
Teleop
End