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Red127
12547.7
7859.5
476123.6
Blue125
404860.6
66316.0
110041.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13011550100150200250127125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#2
59.50.0
58.658.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
60.60.1
60.560.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
125
#6
47.70.0
46.746.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.6
41.10.1
40.941.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4761
#17
23.60.0
22.722.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.6
663
#27
16.00.1
15.916.0
Auto
Teleop
End