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Red172
493520.2
126160.8
382461.7
Blue88
261436.7
297444.1
349028.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14610305020025017288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.70.7
60.461.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.6
2974
#50
44.10.5
44.243.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
60.80.7
59.560.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.0
2614
#29
36.70.5
36.936.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4935
#57
20.20.7
18.919.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.9
28.20.5
28.327.9
Auto
Teleop
End