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Red166
493520.2
382461.7
126160.8
Blue122
297444.1
261436.7
349028.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions149100050200250166122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.70.6
61.161.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.6
2974
#50
44.10.3
43.744.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
60.80.6
60.260.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.0
2614
#29
36.70.3
36.436.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4935
#57
20.20.6
19.720.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.9
28.20.3
27.928.2
Auto
Teleop
End