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Red60
450519.0
497632.9
102445.8
Blue64
155322.2
348921.2
129314.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions645401001502002506064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1024
#22
45.80.2
28.127.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.6
1553
#18
22.20.7
17.418.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4976
#27
32.933.0
46.813.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.8
3489
#41
21.20.7
23.624.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4505
#42
19.00.2
20.220.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
1293
#49
14.70.7
14.615.3
Auto
Teleop
End