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Red1
13985.8
484711.7
45169.1
Blue30
164830.2
44898.1
314012.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44420206080100120130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4847
#61
11.73.4
12.08.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.5
1648
#37
30.21.2
21.019.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4516
#62
9.13.4
15.712.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
3140
#58
12.01.2
12.711.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1398
#64
5.83.4
13.710.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
4489
#43
8.11.2
10.29.0
Auto
Teleop
End