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Red12
50202.5
51806.0
264131.6
Blue121
349028.2
531727.9
445148.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4268010015020025012121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2641
#28
31.62.8
16.613.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.8
4451
#53
48.44.7
32.237.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5180
#54
6.02.8
18.115.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.1
28.24.7
20.325.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5020
#45
2.52.8
11.08.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 25.4
5317
#34
27.94.7
11.616.3
Auto
Teleop
End