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Red44
50638.7
490217.8
348921.2
Blue90
426721.7
496518.2
164830.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions524401001502004490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3489
#41
21.20.6
24.924.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.0
1648
#37
30.23.7
19.022.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4902
#55
17.80.6
14.413.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
4267
#35
21.73.7
12.115.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5063
#47
8.70.6
11.611.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.5
4965
#63
18.23.7
14.518.2
Auto
Teleop
End