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Red60
493520.2
446820.6
164830.2
Blue154
131127.2
264131.6
90042.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4673010015020060154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1648
#37
30.20.8
29.029.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.2
900
#13
42.47.1
27.334.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4468
#60
20.60.8
8.39.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.0
2641
#28
31.67.1
19.626.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4935
#57
20.20.8
12.713.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.0
1311
#46
27.27.1
21.728.8
Auto
Teleop
End